An Economist Walks into a Brothel by Allison Schrager

"Suppose you are deciding whether or not to go on a date with someone you met on Tinder. Based on your extensive dating experience, you figure there's a 5% chance the date will be a total bust...There is a 60% chance your date will be perfectly nice, but there will be no chemistry and awkward, strained conversation. There is a 30% chance you'll like each other enough to date for three months and then break up and feel indifferent about it. And there's a 5% chance the date will be amazing and you'll walk away thinking you met the love of your life. Deciding whether or not to go on the date isn't just a matter of 35% good versus 65% bad. If you look at it that way, you'll never leave home."